Wednesday, September 28, 2011

PnL September 2011


Down 35.61%.
Deposits: $0.00
Withdrawals: $0.00
Total hands played: 51,421

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

tuesday


It has been a sideways weekend--making people happy and I had to go down one stake level from 10NL. Green line is back up above recent major resistance. I have two choices here. Take shots again at 10NL and risk having a negative PnL for September, or keep playing at 2NL 5NL and have a positive PnL.

If you were in my position, what would you do?

On a different note...

I have been listening to the audiobook, The Four Hour Work Week and got an idea. I have been documenting this poker business since day one. The new business venture is going to be like this--
- write 'play poker as a home-based business' ebook
- sell that ebook for a cause, which is...
- to use the money to stake pinoy poker players

I'm not sure how this venture is going to turn out. I am in the process of getting another business off the ground at the moment(something to do with web development). Soon as I get to cruise altitude, I'll see if I can get this one up and running.
-

Thursday, September 22, 2011

thursday


Not much happening lately. I am curious as to what will happen to the red line so I am going to start posting my charts with her in it.

I have been going to the doctor's clinic to have the surgical dressing on my back changed. I go almost every day, except on weekends when they are closed. It's free anyway and I enjoy getting more sun. This morning, the doctor wrote a referral for me to have the cyst surgically removed. He said he'll fax that to the hospital and that I should expect to get a call from them sometime soon.

It's funny that I can tell who's tech-savvy or not just by the way they type on their keyboard. That doctor doesn't spend a lot of time on the internet. His typing speed is hunt and peck style. He will hunt for the letters first, then peck on them with his index fingers. My kids type faster than this guy.

Tomorrow, I am going there again. It's a good thing their nurses are such eye candies. And the receptionists too.

Monday, September 19, 2011

EV Explained

I was playing with my charts on HM, and noticed that my all-in EV somehow deviated down and away from my winnings line. Take a look--


Curious as to what this meant, I googled it and found this FAQ on holdemmanager: EV Explained.

It says that, EV is a mathematical formula based on when a hand goes all-in before the river.

I only scanned through the page, and from what I gathered, when that red line started to deviate away from the green line, it meant that:

* I made my nuts on the flop
* went all-in either on the flop or turn
* have been winning more of, and from the showdown hands than I did before.

Here's where I get confused.

There was this time last week where I went through a dry spell. I got sucked out on, and I hardly got the nuts. Why did that red line not climb up any closer to the green line? At some point, the red line decided to go sideways while the green line did what it was supposed to. What made that red line go sideways and not keep up with the green line?

I am going to look that up when I have the time. Or maybe not. As long as the green line is up, I am not complaining about what that red line is going to do next.

Sunday, September 18, 2011

the 2p2 uNL bloglist


I completely forgot about this. I vaguely remember requesting to have this blog added on that list more than a year ago.

nice ;p

It's 2pm. One of my kids are having friends over. I am sleepy after a heavy lunch. I was thinking of doing a session, but after a few hands, my head wasn't in the game. I'll take a nap with all the noise in the other room. Maybe they'll opt to play in the yard.

sunday


This finally feels like variance is starting to work in my favor again. Since coming home from the hospital the other day, all I do is play poker, rest, do easy things, then play poker again. The wound in my back is not as bothersome as it was before. Tomorrow, I head back to the clinic and have that dressing changed. At the end of the month, I go see that surgeon again to have that cyst removed.

Friday, September 16, 2011

i was in the hospital


The chart above shows hands played this month to-date. I am not seeing a lot of homeruns lately. Times like these, I am putting in money in the pot for my meta-game. At least I am above breaking even.

I wasn't able to play yesterday. I went to visit my doctor about a boil in my back that was bothering me. It started out like a pimple, but now it was almost the size of my palm. When the doctor saw the 'boil' she adamantly insisted that I take it to the hospital and have a surgeon take care of the abscess--TODAY. I asked her if it was something I should worried about. Yes, she said. What complicates things, she mentioned was that it was sitting right in the middle of my back, where my spine was. She then called the hospital, spoke to a surgeon and told them I was coming.

The last time I was in the hospital was back in 1982 in manila. I had typhoid fever. There was a lot of anxiety in me. It was a bump that had been on my back for at least three months. It got swollen and painful these last few days. I was scaring myself shitless worrying if it was a tumor.

When the surgeon saw that thing, I immediately asked--is it cancer, or can lead to cancer. His answer--NO.

He explained that it was a sebaceous cyst that got infected. He then gave me two choices. Do I want it removed under local anesthesia (with a lot of pain), or go into surgery where they put me to sleep. I chose that they put me to sleep. I then explained that I was not yet permanent resident. Would it cost me anything? He said it might, but wasn't sure. I kept to my decision. So they brought me to that ward where all the patients scheduled for surgery.

While lying in bed, I kept thinking to myself that we might not be able to afford it if I went into surgery. When the doctor came back, he explained that he wasn't sure about my immigration status, but it might cost $1000 to $2000. I told him I want it removed under local anesthetic.

And it hurt a lot.

Really.

It was really painful. The abscess was as big as my palm. You can just imagine how much pus was in there. It hurt when I touched it lightly. This time, the doctor was making injections around the area to anesthetize it, making it numb for the procedure.

I was sent home later that night. I was prescribed with some antibiotics and told to come back in two weeks so a surgeon can remove the cyst, otherwise, the infection will come back, and god knows what. The clinic can change the dressing on the wound every three days until I get that cyst removed.

The upside to all this experience was that we never paid a single dollar. I was in that surgical ward for three hours. They were giving me all these medications, IV solutions to keep me hydrated, and antibiotics preparing me for the surgery. I was thinking all that time that all this was going to cost at least $100.

There were three filipino nurses there that kept me company. Us pinoys love to mingle with other pinoys when we see one here in nz. After the doctor took care of the abscess, one of the pinoy nurses told me that, if I had this procedure done in manila, a neurosurgeon would have handled the procedure. That would easily have cost Php250,000.

We didn't pay a single dollar.*

I love it here!

PS
As an aside, I arrived at the hospital at 11am. I got out at 7pm. I did not mind waiting, in fact, I enjoyed it. Everywhere I looked I'd find HOT women--doctors, nurses, patients and their visitors. I felt like I was taking part in a live episode of Grey's Anatomy ;p

* you'd probably feel the same way I did if you grew up in a third world country.

Really Important Stuff Kids Have Taught Me

Really Important Stuff Kids Have Taught Me

1. It's more fun to color outside the lines.
2. If you're gonna draw on the wall, do it behind the couch.
3. Ask why until you understand.
4. Hang on tight.
5. Even if you've been fishing for 3 hours and haven't gotten
anything except poison ivy and a sunburn, you're still better off
than the worm.
6. Make up the rules as you go along.
7. It doesn't matter who started it.
8. Ask for sprinkles.
9. If the horse you're drawing looks more like a dog, make it a dog.
10. Save a place in line for your friends.
11. Sometimes you have to take the test before you've finished
studying.
12. If you want a kitten, start out asking for a horse.
13. Picking your nose when no one else is looking is still picking
your nose.
14. Just keep banging until someone opens the door.
15. Making your bed is a waste of time.
16. There is no good reason why clothes have to match.
17. Even Popeye didn't eat his spinach until he absolutely had to.
18. You work so hard peddling up the hill that you hate to brake on
the way down.
19. You can't ask to start over just because you're losing the game.

source-- Really Important Stuff Kids Have Taught Me

Monday, September 12, 2011

Sunday, September 11, 2011

How To Make a Woman Happy



How To Make a Woman Happy | MadBlast.com

sunday


Finally--breakout!

One thing I noticed is that short stack time is from 2pm to 6pm (GMT+12). There are more short stackers playing on pokerstars uNL than any other time of the day. The best time for me to play is in the morning, or late at night. Whenever I play during short stack time, my attention is focused more on table selection (moving away from short stackers) than making good plays.

I was going through a lot of personal issues these past few days. This shows in the momentary sideways movement of the chart where I was playing poorly. The issue has something to do with my health and immigration, and are connected. As long as I am aware of how I respond to the situation, everything is all right. If I fall into my "victimization" mode, I make everyone in the tables happy.

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

pinoy jokes

From my friends on facebook ;p

MGA INGLESERA SA KANTO....
1. ats if!
2. the nerd!
3. im sick of tired!
4. true good to be true!
5. when it rains,it's four!
6. once in a new moon.
7. keep your mouth shock!
8. connect me if im wrong.
9. i hope u dont mine.
10. will u please give me alone?
11. PLS. DON'T MAKE FOND OF ME!!!!

tao te ching - on confidence and fear

Winning can be just as bad as losing.
Confidence can mess you up
just as much as fear.

What does
"winning can be just as bad as losing" mean?

If you're down,
you might be able to get up.
But if you're up,
you can get knocked down real fast.
Don't worry about the score,
just do what you have to do.

What does
"confidence can mess you up
just as much as fear" mean?

Fear can keep you
from getting the job done,
but confidence
can get you in over your head.
Walk tall, but don't get cocky.

Know your limits,
and nothing can ever hold you back.
Deal with what you can.
The rest will follow.

Translation by Ron Hogan
Programming by Simon Hudson

wednesday


Chart shows hands played for the last 10k hands. I am back taking shots at 10NL. A few of the regs I played at 2NL are also there. Some are playing as consistently as they do on other levels, a few are tighter than usual.

While washing the dishes this morning, the idea came up on getting another stake. I checked into the 2p2 forums for cash games staking and sent an application to one that appealed the most. I'm not sure how this one is going to go.

I gave up on staking a few months back. They start me up one stake level higher, but on a limited-risk bankroll. The bankroll the staker provides is almost same amount of bankroll that I have at that moment. What happens then is that I play the same amount of hands over time, but get half the profits playing the same bankroll.

The upside to staking is the promise of getting more funds if my game is profitable. It gets easier to go up stake levels with someone else's money. There is also the opportunity of learning from other players. So it's 50/50 then about getting staked--not very good, but not such a bad idea after all.

Maybe I am just bored with playing alone, sitting in front of the computer all day. For now, I am going to keep my options open--see what happens.

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

tuesday

Last 10,000 hands. Not much happening.

If you play at pokerstars, you might have noticed the new feature--"easy seat."

This allows you to set criterias for table selection, like a range for stake levels you want to play, set the maximum number of tables that you are playing for the session, then sit back and start clicking.

Soon as you close one table that you don't like for one reason or another, you have a new one up and running in the background (not taking focus away from active table), all within 3 seconds. This is one feature that deserves recognition from us grinders.

Now the autohotkey script I made to open tables is obsolete. Easy seat makes it easy for me to get replacement tables. What I like about it is that it works seamlessly in the background. New tables are opened based on the criteria that I set and they do not take focus from the ones I am playing.

With the ahk script I was using (daJoinT.ahk), the script will first bring focus on the lobby, then click on join waitlist. It does so every 10 seconds or so. Playing 20 tables where the lobby comes up every ten seconds can get quite confusing and takes getting used to.

When I first tried out 'easy seat' I had to check the lobby now and then wondering if I am on the waitlist on any of the tables. You practically see an empty waitlist in the lobby anymore. They are automatically filled in by this new feature.

Sweet, isn't it?

The only issue I noticed with it was that, after an hour or so of playing, the easy seat stops by itself and I had to manually turn on the start button from the lobby. I am not sure what is affecting that script's loop function. It could be something that triggers it during gameplay with my own script--or something else. I have already emailed beta@pokerstars.com about it.

Sunday, September 4, 2011

I AM NANONOKO - A Short Film by PokerStars Team Online (HD) - YouTube



I AM NANONOKO - A Short Film by PokerStars Team Online (HD) - YouTube

sunday


another tough weekend. First pokerstars had a software update, tableninja and holdemmanager bonked out because of that update. It was only an hour ago that HM released 1.12.0 allowing me to play with HUDs on all tables.

Tableninja, no updates as of this writing so I had to make do with autohotkey workarounds--which turned out good for me. I have been trying to figure out how to make "ControlClick" to work on my scripts. I finally figured it out and have been using it since yesterday.

Saturday, September 3, 2011

memo to self

DO NOT click on OK for pokerstars to do a software update--do so only after tableninja has updated theirs.

I just spent the whole day finding a workaround/patch using autohotkey just so I can multi-table efficiently. I also noticed that holdemmanager did not have a HUD on 1/4 of my tables.

Tableninja used to be fast with their updates. Seeing a ps update, I knew then that if I fired up tn, it's going to ask for an update too. Lately, it takes from three days to a week for them to get things right.

Poker Tracker was first, but Holdem Manager leads the market today(imo). Maybe someone can write a better software than tableninja one of these days. In the meantime, I'm going to have to make do with what I got.

No, it wasn't a good day for me today.

StarsCash.ahk

TableNinja did not immediately send updates after Pokerstars updated their client. I am trying out this ahk script and see it works out.

Two hours later...

StarsCash.ahk, some functions are working, some aren't, specially the potbet functions. Looking for solutions on the 2p2 forums, I found that this is a common problem and did not find a distinct solution addressed by the developer.

As a workaround, I tried using starscash with tableninja by disabling functions from each of them--running these together only gave me more headaches to deal with.

Either I will look under the hood with starscash.ahk and get the parts that I can use, or wait for the tableninja update. Or both. I guess I am not going to play poker today.

This is why I am learning how to code. Using both open source software and commercial software, support doesn't happen as fast as I want it to. At least with open source software (like starscash.ahk), I can look under the hood and change things to make things work for me. With commercial software, I have no choice but to wait for updates, or a reply from tech support.

Starscash.ahk has a lot of functions that I want to learn--like being able to join waitlists on consecutive tables even if tables take away focus from the lobby. I am going to see if I can get rid of the GUI, copy parts of the code over to my ahk script. This is going to take some time.

Thursday, September 1, 2011

Analysis on Courtney Gee's Poker Update

This came up in my radar this morning and wanted to write something about this before I start my day off-- Downswings Make Poker Not Fun – Courtney Gee Poker Update

First, take a look at this--
I didn’t get the chance to post last week because I was quite busy, so today I will report on two weeks of poker. You will soon see that things didn’t change much, though, and that I kept losing money! Here are the unfortunate numbers:

August 15th to 21th:
# MTTs: 168
Hours: 26.5
Net result: -$2,125.99

August 22nd to 28th:
# MTTs: 100
Hours: 21
Net result: -$2,335.87

That brings my total MTT losses since August 6th to $9,098. Yikes.
That if it is possible to lose this much money in less than a month, then the opposite side of the stick tells me that, (with a good method) anyone can make that much in profit as well. If you lived in Manila, US$2,000 will go a long way in 30 days.

My next question then is, how much is Courtney's bankroll? Looking at the dollars that she gave away in those weeks, she probably has a bankroll of about $100,000. Most unlikely, the minimum backroll she is working with would be about $20,000. Unlikely because, if you are losing 10% of your bankroll in a week means you are not going to last long in this business.

Second thing I noticed is this--
I can’t really disagree with the latter statement. We are obviously much less likely to endure downswings that big when we are playing well. The problem is that playing well all the time is extremely difficult. We are human and bad days are going to happen once in a while.
That part where Courtney says, "playing well all the time is extremely difficult" I disagree with. It is easy to play well. It's simple. Define how a good poker player would play, then behave that way in every way. Where she is failing at is that she has expectations. She wants to see a = b. That playing well equals making money. It's not that easy. Why? Variance. No matter how well you play, the fish will get the nuts on the river now and then.

After playing hundreds of thousands of hands, I know that variance works both ways. If fish gets the nuts on the river every now and then, I too, will have that. What is importnat is that I keep my expenses small and the profits will take care of itself in the long term.

Here is strike three--
In somewhat of an example, this past Friday I was running really badly when calling people down. People’s lines just kept making no sense so I just kept calling, and they somehow had it every single time. This caused me to unfortunately adjust my calling ranges so that in future hands with similar situations, I didn't call when I should have.
I suspect she's going to showdown with TPTK in a big pot. Two pairs and three of a kinds are also considered marginal hands if villain wants to make a big pot. Winning players know that you never play marginal hands. When you make a set or better, you value bet all the way. You never call down a set even if you suspect villain having a bigger hand over you. When you showdown a big hand aggressively, next time the other players see this happen, they will suspect you have a big hand. That is investing in your meta-game.

I am assuming that Courtney is putting a lot of pressure on herself. Making a living as a professional athlete (poker player) and putting yourself out for public scrutiny is not a good combination. Courtney is probably trying too hard to show good results to everyone, that she finds herself playing marginal hands a lot of times hoping to make a big win.

If I were in her spot, I'd rather focus on my stats. Strive to get better W$F, W$SD and WTSD stats. I would invest in my meta-game by playing with villain's perception--manipulating the HUD stats they see of me, and my showdown hands. Notice that a lot of players these days play with tracking software. Use that to your advantage.

But then again, Courtney plays in tournaments. My 'magic' only work in cash games. In fact, I don't know how to finish in the money in that kind of environment. Take everything that I wrote here with a pinch of salt--it was written from a cash player's perspective.